2006/11/24

little or no price action

Think all week many expected little or no price action and wanted to discount it early on as it began unfolding. Contrary to contrary opinion as it is all part of the plan being carried out beautifully.

Eur/Usd MACD divergence and 3rd trendline

Hi there

Not too active last days, just observing, analyzing, planning.
On the image bellow, possible, i did find the strategy for the next 10 days.


Next 2 4-hours candles have to confirm it.

Have fun, losers!

2006/11/23

TRADING: A MIND GAME

TRADING: A MIND GAME

Must change my mental attitude first from a normal person to that of a speculator.
Almost all traders simply waste all their time trying to learn the easiest part in perfection, like about how to read data and charts, and trying to perfect entry and exit skills, etc.
Trading is a mind game and without having a right frame of mind, it is a losing game even before it starts.
Training a trader`s mind is the first step for any successful trader but almost all new traders neglect that part and that explains why more than 95% of traders are a failure in the long run.

Acquiring the knowledge of the market is not difficult for anyone with average intelligence after a few years of hard study in the market. But it is neither the level of intelligence nor the knowledge that decides the outcome of the market operations of a trader. It is the decision making process that is so hard for most traders to overcome and that is the main reason for a success or a failure for all the traders. Some find it easy to make decisions and stick to it and most find it so hard to make decisions and stick to it. Unfortunately, any decision making process in trading is a pain-taking process and humans tend to avoid pains and go for pleasures even if for temporary ones. Assuming one has acquired enough market knowledge and acquired one`s proven trading system (this is the second most important element of success in trading, in fact. An edge in any system is based on the quality of info one has, charts being only an info of secondary quality not the best one)

Through studies and research, a trader faces the task of making decisions to put this knowledge and system into practice. Then, how many traders can honestly say they can commit their ranch when the trade is suggested by their own system (given that trading is just a chance game) and let the profit run for weeks and months when their system tells them, and how many can manage to cut the loss as a routine process when the situation arise. It all sounds so easy when saying it but so difficult when doing it affecting real money in the market. I still do not sleep well when I am running position because even if the profits are running into a few hundred dollars and the system is telling you to carry on, there is no guarantee that the profit will turn into a yard or two in a month time, and it may even turn into a loss in a day or two when something unexpected happens. A painstaking process in real sense. The pain is not knowing what will happen in the future and in fear of losing. So at the end of the day, assuming one has decent trading system and market knowledge and decent info, it is ultimately how disciplined and how well that trader can take the pain of making right decisions at the right time that decides the outcome of the trades. Hence I call trading a mind game. When I interview prospective young traders, I always look for disciplined and strong-willed person as my first priority as long as one has decent education, but strangely in many cases, it is some kind of genius or half-genius with lots of brains with no disciplines who turn up for an interview thinking only bright people can make good traders.

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respects to Shanghai BC from global-view Forex Forum

2006/11/19

Forex PsYchology: Straight from the heart

Forex PsYchology: Straight from the heart ...

Straight from the heart
Trading is a battle against human survival instinct. It takes a long time to have a person's brain rewire to the point where trying to survive doesn't override what that person does during the middle of it when the heat gets turned up. Everyone loses accounts their first year no matter how well they were consistently doing demo trading because when emotions start happening it literally stops a person from being able to press the button out of pure fear.